Stock pickers are dead

wall-street-award-series-dvd

More evidence of the shift towards indexing vs. active management (stock pickers) appeared today as the Massachussets State Pension Fund moved 2 billion out of Legg Mason active mangers to indexing strategies. Eventually they will be moving all domestic equity exposure to indexing strategies. This was reported on Bloomberg today (click to read article).

Even more incredible, there was a study released that shows only 0.6% of active managers exhibited truly positive alphas over the 1975 to 2006 period (click to read study). We believe strongly in the benefits of Indexing, especially for individual investors. The odds of successfully picking stocks and the odds of picking an active manager that will outperform their relative benchmark is incredibly low.

Up and down again!

image

Volatility is not much fun if you are looking for stability and consistent long term returns. Universities typically use volatility to rebalance their portfolios. In fact this rebalancing can reduce volatility and improve performance.

David Swensen wrote in one of his books, Unconventional Success, that Yale has been able to improve performance by over 1% due to their rebalancing Sotechniques.

ETF's and why some advisors avoid them

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been around since 1993. They are not a new phenomenon in the financial world, yet they are often overlooked by many of our peers (other advisors). Oddly enough one of the Yale Endowment’s biggest positions is an ETF. ETFs may be a solid investment because of their low costs, tax efficiency, and stock-like features, so why hasn't the Investment Advisory community caught on?

It is not the case that investment professionals are unaware of the benefits of investing in ETFs. Many agree that they are one of the most cutting-edge investment tools in quite some time, however the problem seems to be that there are just too many. Investment Advisors are apprehensive about untested indexes and can be overwhelmed by the number of ETFs available, new and old.

Many Investment Advisors market themselves and pride themselves on the idea that they are able to pick the stocks that will perform best. An index, like one used in an ETF, would devalue the research and intelligence that Advisors believe goes into this stock selection.

Also, and perhaps most importantly, it is difficult to charge high fees when selling products that use an index. Another argument is that more and more young people coming out of business school are staying away from the Investment Advisory business and gravitating towards hedge funds and private equity firms. This would mean that Investment Advisory firms tend to be older and older advisors are more likely not to know or care what ETFs are.

Any way you look at it investment advisors have tended to neglect ETFs even though they can be a very advantageous investment tool and have been an important investment tool for university endowments.

Important Disclosure